Last Wednesday we held the first event in our relaunched Restructuring and Insolvency Forum.
A few days before the forum the Reserve Bank of Australia warned that the massive number of new apartment blocks approaching completion could send developers broke and leave the banks nursing big losses. The day after the forum, The Australian reported the findings of Morgan Stanley research which forecast a credit crunch and a hard landing for the new apartment construction cycle with a surplus of 100,000 apartments by 2018. The investment bank predicts a 'sudden stop' of apartment activity, triggered by regulator-driven rationing of credit, which will cause the construction industry to shed some 200,000 jobs.